Politics Prediction Markets
Explore live Politics prediction markets on Polynion.
Follow Politics market sentiment with live pricing, fresh listings, and resolved results across the category.
Will Colombia's peace process with ELN result in a ceasefire agreement before 2027?
Ceasefire Signed3.33x
30%
No Agreement1.43x
70%
12.13K Cvol
Will a major corruption investigation lead to high-profile arrests in Brazil in 2026?
Arrests Made2.86x
35%
No Arrests1.54x
65%
4.74K Cvol
Will the BJP-led NDA win more than 300 seats in the next general election?
300+ seats2.50x
40%
Under 3001.67x
60%
0 Cvol
Will Thailand legalize casino gambling before 2027?
Legalized3.33x
30%
Not Legalized1.43x
70%
2.9K Cvol
Will Thailand's Bhumjaithai-led government survive a no-confidence vote before December 2026?
Survives1.82x
55%
Falls2.22x
45%
0 Cvol
Will Malaysia's Unity Government announce an early general election before December 2026?
Early Election2.86x
35%
Full Term1.54x
65%
13.11K Cvol
Will the Brazilian Congress pass tax reform before July 2027?
Reform Passed2.50x
40%
Not Passed1.67x
60%
7.59K Cvol
Will India implement a nationwide Uniform Civil Code before December 2027?
UCC Passed3.33x
30%
Not Passed1.43x
70%
2.78K Cvol
Will Vietnam's National Assembly pass new fintech regulations before October 2026?
Law Passed2.86x
35%
Not Passed1.54x
65%
2.9K Cvol
Will Jakarta's gubernatorial election go to a second round in 2026?
Second Round2.22x
45%
First Round Win1.82x
55%
16.19K Cvol
Will the Indonesian government pass the new tax reform bill before October 2026?
Bill Passed2.50x
40%
Not Passed1.67x
60%
2.83K Cvol
Will a ceasefire agreement be reached in the Russia-Ukraine conflict before September 1, 2026?
Ceasefire3.30x
30%
No Ceasefire1.43x
70%
4.4K Cvol
Conservatives win next UK general election before 2027
Yes3.48x
29%
No1.40x
71%
78.86K Cvol
Trump imposes new tariffs on EU before 2027
Yes1.60x
63%
No2.68x
37%
104.89K Cvol
North Korea conducts a nuclear weapons test before 2027
Yes3.63x
28%
No1.38x
72%
111.81K Cvol
Russia-Ukraine permanent ceasefire signed before 2027
Yes2.93x
34%
No1.52x
66%
78.19K Cvol
US government shutdown before 2027
Yes4.07x
25%
No1.33x
75%
87.47K Cvol
Democrats win US House in 2026 midterms
Yes1.10x
91%
No11.22x
9%
74.06K Cvol
Republicans win the Senate in 2026
Republicans Win1.65x
61%
Democrats Win2.53x
39%
85.55K Cvol