Will the Selic rate fall below 10% by December 2026?
Below 10% chance:40%
Price History
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Market Timeline
May 16, 2026, 10:21 AM
Open Trading
Dec 15, 2026, 6:00 PM
Trading cutoff
Rules Summary
Resolves YES if BCB cuts the Selic rate below 10.00% before December 31, 2026.
Selic has been gradually declining. BCB's Copom decisions balance inflation control with growth needs.
Example: YES - BCB cuts Selic to 9.50% in Q4 2026. NO - Selic stays at 10.50%.