Will the Bank of Japan raise rates above 1.0% by September 2026?

Above 1% chance:35%

Price History

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Market Timeline

May 16, 2026, 10:21 AM
Open Trading
Sep 18, 2026, 6:00 AM
Trading cutoff

Rules Summary

Resolves YES if the BOJ policy rate exceeds 1.0% at any point before September 30, 2026.
BOJ has been gradually normalizing policy. Markets are debating whether a hike above 1% will occur in 2026.
Example: YES - BOJ raises rate to 1.25% in July 2026. NO - Rate stays at or below 1.0%.