Will Thailand receive over 40 million foreign tourists in 2026?

Over 40M chance:40%

Price History

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Market Timeline

May 16, 2026, 10:21 AM
Open Trading
Jan 15, 2027, 6:00 PM
Trading cutoff

Rules Summary

Resolves YES if Thailand's Ministry of Tourism reports over 40 million foreign arrivals for calendar year 2026.
Thailand is targeting 38-40M tourists in 2026, up from 35M in 2025. Chinese and Indian tourist flows are key.
Example: YES - Ministry reports 41.5M arrivals for 2026. NO - Total reaches 37M.

Resolver