Will OpenAI release GPT-5 before September 1, 2026?
GPT-5 Released chance:45%
Price History
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Market Timeline
May 16, 2026, 10:17 AM
Open Trading
Aug 31, 2026, 6:00 PM
Trading cutoff
Rules Summary
This market resolves YES if OpenAI officially releases GPT-5 (or a model explicitly branded as GPT-5) to the public before September 1, 2026 00:00 UTC.
OpenAI has been developing next-generation models with CEO Sam Altman hinting at major capabilities. Release timing remains uncertain.
Example resolution:
- YES: OpenAI launches GPT-5 on August 15, 2026.
- NO: GPT-5 is not released before September 1, 2026.