Will Colombia's peace process with ELN result in a ceasefire agreement before 2027?

Ceasefire Signed chance:30%

Price History

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Market Timeline

May 16, 2026, 10:21 AM
Open Trading
Dec 30, 2026, 6:00 PM
Trading cutoff

Rules Summary

Resolves YES if Colombia's government and the ELN sign a permanent ceasefire agreement before January 1, 2027.
Peace talks with ELN have been ongoing. Full cessation remains elusive despite progress.
Example: YES - Government and ELN sign ceasefire in October 2026. NO - No lasting agreement.