Will a ceasefire agreement be reached in the Russia-Ukraine conflict before September 1, 2026?
Ceasefire chance:30%
Price History
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Market Timeline
May 16, 2026, 10:17 AM
Open Trading
Aug 31, 2026, 6:00 PM
Trading cutoff
Rules Summary
This market resolves YES if an official ceasefire or peace agreement between Russia and Ukraine is announced and accepted by both parties before September 1, 2026 00:00 UTC.
Peace negotiations have seen intermittent progress but no breakthrough as of May 2026. Multiple diplomatic tracks remain active.
Example resolution:
- YES: Both Russia and Ukraine sign a ceasefire agreement on August 15, 2026.
- NO: No ceasefire agreement reached before September 1, 2026.