US government shutdown before 2027
Yes chance:25%
Price History
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Market Timeline
Apr 22, 2026, 12:24 PM
Open Trading
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM
Resolve deadline
Rules Summary
The United States federal government experiences a funding lapse resulting in a partial or full shutdown before December 31, 2026. Resolves YES if any federal agency ceases non-essential operations due to failure to pass appropriations or a continuing resolution. Source of truth: Congressional Research Service (CRS) reports, OMB shutdown guidance, and major news outlets (AP, Reuters, NYT).