US federal funds rate below 4.00% by end of 2026
Yes chance:57%
Price History
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Market Timeline
Apr 22, 2026, 12:25 PM
Open Trading
Dec 17, 2026, 9:00 AM
Resolve deadline
Rules Summary
The upper bound of the US federal funds rate target range is below 4.00% at the conclusion of the Federal Reserve's final scheduled meeting of 2026 (December 15-16, 2026). Resolves YES if the FOMC sets the target range with an upper bound of 3.75% or lower. Source of truth: Official FOMC meeting statements (federalreserve.gov) and Federal Reserve press releases.