US 10-year Treasury yield below 4% at end of 2026
Yes chance:52%
Price History
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Market Timeline
Apr 22, 2026, 12:45 PM
Open Trading
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM
Resolve deadline
Rules Summary
The US 10-year Treasury note yield closes below 4.00% on the final trading day of 2026. Resolves YES if the closing yield is 3.99% or lower. Source of truth: US Department of the Treasury daily yield curve rates (treasury.gov), Bloomberg terminal, and verified by WSJ and CNBC.