Russia-Ukraine permanent ceasefire signed before 2027

Yes chance:34%

Price History

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Market Timeline

Apr 22, 2026, 12:26 PM
Open Trading
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM
Resolve deadline

Rules Summary

A permanent ceasefire agreement between Russia and Ukraine is formally signed before December 31, 2026. Resolves YES if credible reporting from Reuters, AP, or BBC confirms both parties have signed a formal ceasefire or peace agreement. Temporary humanitarian pauses or 30-day truces do NOT count. Source of truth: Official statements by Russian and Ukrainian governments, US State Department announcements, and verified by Reuters, AP, and BBC.