North Korea conducts a nuclear weapons test before 2027

Yes chance:28%

Price History

Loading...

Market Timeline

Apr 22, 2026, 12:26 PM
Open Trading
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM
Resolve deadline

Rules Summary

North Korea (DPRK) conducts a nuclear weapons test before December 31, 2026. Resolves YES if the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO), USGS, or South Korean military detects and confirms a nuclear test. Source of truth: CTBTO seismic monitoring, USGS earthquake reports, and verified by Reuters, AP, and South Korean Joint Chiefs of Staff announcements.