North Korea conducts a nuclear weapons test before 2027
Yes chance:28%
Price History
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Market Timeline
Apr 22, 2026, 12:26 PM
Open Trading
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM
Resolve deadline
Rules Summary
North Korea (DPRK) conducts a nuclear weapons test before December 31, 2026. Resolves YES if the Comprehensive Nuclear-Test-Ban Treaty Organization (CTBTO), USGS, or South Korean military detects and confirms a nuclear test. Source of truth: CTBTO seismic monitoring, USGS earthquake reports, and verified by Reuters, AP, and South Korean Joint Chiefs of Staff announcements.
